Explosions and subsidies: Why hydrogen is struggling to catch on in Korea
30 Septembre 2019 - Autoblog
Accidents and infrastructure are holding it back
Aiming to cash in on a major push by South Korea to promote fuel cell vehicles, Sung Won-young opened a hydrogen refueling station in the city of Ulsan last September. Just one year on, he's thinking about closing it down.
The government paid the 3 billion won ($2.5 million) cost - six times more than fast charging equipment for battery electric cars - and the two pumps, located next to Sung's gasoline stand, see a steady flow of Hyundai Nexo SUVs daily.
Even so, Sung hasn't been able to turn a profit, hamstrung as the equipment can only refuel a limited number of cars each day and by the government's decision to set retail hydrogen prices low to bring consumers on board.
"All hydrogen stations will have no choice but to shut down unless the government subsidizes operating costs," Sung, 32, told Reuters. "Otherwise, this place will just become a 3-billion-won chunk of steel."
If those impediments to commercial viability were not enough, a fatal hydrogen storage tank explosion this year has spurred protests against the government and Hyundai's ambitious campaign to promote the zero-emissions fuel.
Calling hydrogen power the "future bread and butter" of Asia's No. 4 economy, President Moon Jae-in has declared himself an ambassador for the technology and targeted 850,000 fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) on South Korean roads by 2030.
That's no mean feat given fewer than 3,000 have been sold so far. Japan, also a big proponent of FCVs and with an auto market three times larger, plans 800,000 in the same timeframe.
The challenges of building out refueling infrastructure in South Korea underscore the long and uphill battle FCVs face to widespread adoption at a time when electric cars are stealing much of the green car limelight.
And for the government and Hyundai, the only automaker selling a fuel cell car in the country, it is an expensive project with no guarantee of success.
Moon is set to spend the equivalent of $1.8 billion in central government funds to subsidize car sales and to build refueling stations for five years at current subsidy levels, Reuters calculations show.
Subsidies cut the Nexo's price by half to about 35 million won ($29,300) and sales of the model, launched in March 2018, have surged this year. In contrast, Japanese subsidies fund one third of the hydrogen fuel cell Toyota Mirai, bringing its price to around $46,200.
Some critics argue Hyundai is the main beneficiary of the government's ardent backing, but the automaker also has much at stake. With its suppliers, it plans to invest the equivalent of $6.5 billion by 2030 on hydrogen R&D and facilities.
"There are risks that come with the need to make large-scale investments in building (hydrogen car) production facilities, securing supply channels and establishing sales networks," Hyundai said in an e-mailed statement.
In May, a hydrogen storage tank at a government research project in the rural city of Gangneung exploded. It destroyed a complex about half the size of a soccer field, killing two and injuring six. A preliminary investigation found the blast was caused by a spark after oxygen found its way into the tank.
"One victim was blown away by pressure and then killed after being hit by rock," said Kong Gikwang, a lawyer who represents the family of one of the two who died in a lawsuit against the research complex.
One month later, there was an explosion at a hydrogen refueling station in Norway. This week, a hydrogen gas leak and subsequent fire at a South Korean chemical plant caused three workers to suffer burns.
Such safety concerns have fueled protests by South Korean resident groups worried about hydrogen facilities being built in their areas.
Kim Jong-ho, who began a month-long hunger strike against a planned fuel cell power plant in the port city of Incheon two days before the Gangneung blast, said the explosion refocused attention from pollution risks of hydrogen production to safety. Incheon has since agreed to review the safety and environmental impact of the plant.
Potential station operators have also gotten cold feet since the explosions.
Pyeongtaek city in April picked two gasoline stand operators to run hydrogen stands but within three months, both decided to bow out, forcing the city to restart its search.
"At first, I had great interest. But once I looked closely, I realized the government was pushing for something that can't make profits," one of the prospective operators said, asking not to be identified.
"And I couldn't live worrying about whether there would be an explosion."
To counter such fears, the government is holding briefings for residents, while Hyundai said it is working to convince consumers of hydrogen's safety with information promoted through YouTube and social media.
'Valley of Death'
Despite government plans for 114 hydrogen stations - key for the widespread adoption of FCVs - to be built by end-2019, only 29 have been completed. Difficulties in gaining funds from local governments or businesses meant to help shoulder half the costs, delays in finding sites and opposition from residents have also hobbled efforts.
Those constructing the stations know they are in for a slog.
"There will be a period of going through the valley of death," said Yoo Jong-soo, CEO of a consortium that has been tasked with building 100 stations but that does not expect to make money until 2025.
The consortium, which includes Hyundai, has also called on the government to subsidize operating costs for hydrogen stands. Such a move is under consideration, an industry ministry official told Reuters, declining to be identified as the plan has not been finalized.
"This will only increase the burden for taxpayers who have to pay for the government's hydrogen society splurge," said Ryu Yen-hwa, a former Hyundai Motor engineer and auto analyst who believes FCVs do not make commercial sense.
Just last month, Moon's administration announced it would more than double spending on the 'hydrogen economy' to over 500 billion won next year.
That includes 359 billion won on FCVs and refueling stations, up 52% from this year and a huge leap from the 29.8 billion won spent in 2018.
Hyundai, which touts the Nexo as an "air purifier on the road", is banking on Seoul's aggressive targets to help it achieve economies of scale and bring down costs.
It aims to cut the cost of a hydrogen car before subsidies to 50 million won once annual FCV production reaches 35,000. It hopes to make 40,000 per year by 2022, compared with plans for 11,000 next year.
In the meantime, however, the constraints around refueling and the limited number of stations are causing much frustration.
Hydrogen stand operator Sung said while refueling itself takes about 5-7 minutes, the next driver must wait another 20 minutes before sufficient pressure builds in the storage tank to supply the hydrogen or the car's tank will not be full.
That means he can only service about 100 fuel cell cars a day, compared to up to 1,000 at his gasoline stand. Many drivers can also not be bothered to wait 20 minutes and leave without a full tank.
Choi Gyu-ho, who bought his Nexo to take advantage of low fuel prices, also noted that a lack of stations elsewhere made it hard to leave Ulsan.
"It is very inconvenient. I feel anxious when I drive out of the city," he said.