+ Publier Publicitaire GRATUIT !
Stats d'annonce: Dernier 24h - 96, actuel - 1062, total - 74610

Will Better, Cheaper EVs Really Crash The Oil Market Soon?

29 Février 2016 - Autoblog

Will Better, Cheaper EVs Really Crash The Oil Market Soon?

As the many, many analysts around the media world prove every day, you simply can't go wrong when you predict the future. Sure, you can be wrong, but it seems like no matter how factually incorrect you might be about the future, you will always find a place at the media table.

Of course, I don't know what will happen in the next decade, either, so look who's talking. With all that in mind, I wanted to share a prediction that found purchase in Bloomberg this week: namely, that electric cars will cause the next oil crisis.

On the one hand, this article sounds at times wistfully and wonderfully optimistic. The gist is that, thanks to rapid and unexplored (by the oil market, anyway) advances in battery technology, plug-in vehicles first become comparable in cost and then cheaper than today's gas cars. That's when things get real. The author, Tom Randall, says that, "the 2020s will be the decade of the electric car" and that, "thirty-five percent of new cars worldwide will have a plug," by 2040. As you may remember, OPEC strongly disagrees.

On the other hand, Randall does offer up some crunched numbers to back up his optimism. Given that electric vehicle sales grew, globally, by about 60 percent last year, Randall and his team, "calculated the effect of continued 60 percent growth. We found that electric vehicles could displace oil demand of 2 million barrels a day as early as 2023. That would create a glut of oil equivalent to what triggered the 2014 oil crisis." Even if you don't buy that 60 percent is a reasonable growth rate for EVs to keep up for a long time, Randall says that a more conservative approach to figuring out how much EVs will cost and thus entice new buyers shows that we will hit that two-million barrel level in 2028. For all the numbers, you should just go read the whole article. It even comes with moving GIFs.

While I want to believe Randall's message – what's the point of disruptive technology if you don't actually disrupt things? – I've seen enough talk of Peak Oil and the coming EV revolution over the past decade that I've been covering green cars to know better than to just accept any predictions that come my way. Despite low prices for a barrel of oil today, the oil industry seems to be pretty confident that EVs don't pose a real threat. That could be wishful thinking on their part as well, but that seems like a good a place as any to step aside and leave the rest up for your comments and discussion.

Nouvelles par Tags

2011 models2012 models3D printing458 italia6-series coupeA1A2abc motorsaccidentaccidentsaccordACIMacuraadvertisingafricaairbagsairbusairportalcotestalfaalfa romeoalgeriaamazonamphibiousandroidAnil BachooappappleappointmentsappsarabiaargentinaArtashok leylandasiaastonaston martinauctionaudiaustraliaaustriaautoauto showautonomous carautonomus carAutopilotaventadorawardsAxessbahrain grand prixBAIbajajBangkok Motor ShowBangladeshbatmobilebatterybattlebeachesbeetleBeijing Motor ShowBelgiumbentleybernie ecclestonebetamaxbicyclebicyclesbikebikesbiodieselbmwboatsBogota Auto ShowBois-Marchand accidentBologna Motor ShowbondboschBPObrabusbrazilbribesbridgestonebriobugattibuggybuickburnoutbusbusesbuyingbydcadillaccamaroCanadacarcar buying tipscar dealerscar importcar marketcar rentcar rentalcar sharingcar theftcar washCarPlaycarscartingCCIDCCTVCEBcelebretiescelebritiesChengdu Motor ShowcherychevroletChicago Auto ShowchinaChris Evanschryslercitroencivicclassicclassic carsclassicscomparisonconceptconceptsconvertiblecorruptioncorvetteCourtsCPBcr-vcrashcrash testscrossovercrowdfundingCubaCurepipeCUVCWAdaciadaihatsudaimlerdakardartzdash camdashcamdatsunDelhi Auto ExpodesignDetroitDetroit Auto Showdieseldiesel scandalDIYDLCdodgedragdrag battledrag racedrag racingdriftdriftingdriverless cardrivingdriving licensedriving schooldriving schoolsdriving testdriving tipsdronesdrunk drivingdsDubaiDubai Motor Showducatiearthquakeebeneecoecologyeconomyelectricengen motor showengineenginesEOCethanoletios livaEUEuropeeveventsexpofacebookfakeFast And FuriousFernando AlonsoferrariferryfiatfiestafilmsfinancesfinlandFirefiskerfitness centerFlacqFlic-en-FlacFloodsflying carFootballForbach accidentforce indiafordformula1forza motorsportFrancefrankfurtfrankfurt motor showfraudfuelfuel economy scandalfuel stationfuel stationsfunnyfutureGaikindo Indonesia International Auto ShowgamesgeargeelygenesisGeneva Auto Showgeneva motor showGermanygirlsgmgodzillagolfGoodlandsgooglegoogle glassGoProgovernmentgpsgran turismogrand tourgreat wallgreecegreengreen energygrnoGRSE accidentGTAGymkhanahackershamannharley-davidsonHatchbackhellcatherohistoryholdenHollandhondaHong Konghorsepower falsifyinghospitalshot wheelshotelshoverboardhow toHuayrahummerhumorhurricanehybridhydrogenhyundaii3i40ICACiframacIIHSIMCimportindiaIndian OilindicaIndonesiaIndonesia International Motor Showindonesia motor showinfinitiInfinityinfrastructureinsuranceinteriorinteriorsiPadiphoneiranirelandIRPisraelisuzuitaliaItalyjaguarjamesjames bondJames Mayjapanjapaneese carsjapanese carjapanese carsjazzJDMjeepJeremy Clarksonjettakartkawasakikei carken blockKenyakhankiaKoenigseggkoreaKTMLALA Auto Showlamborghinilancialandland cruiserland roverlawsleallegolexuslight metroLionel Messilotuslow cost carLRTluxuryluxury carsm3mad maxMadagascarmahindramaintenancemalaysiamanmapsmarketmarketingmartinmarutimaruti suzukimaseratiMatt LeBlancMauritiansmauritiusmaybachmazdaMcLarenmercedesmetroMetro Expressmexicomichael schumacherminimitsubishiMMMmonacoMontebello accidentmontereymoparMoroccomotomotormotor showMotor vehicle test centremotorcyclemotorsportmotorsportsmoviesmpvMRAmugenMusicmustangMVDANandanee Soornacknanonascarnavigation systemnavigation systemsNavin RamgoolamNCGNDUNepalnetherlandsnew york auto shownew zealandnfsNHTSANigerianissanissannorwayNTANTCoff-roadoffroadOlympic GamesopelpaganiPakistanParisparis motor showparkingPebble Beachpenaltiespenalty pointspeugeotPhilippinespickuppickupspininfarinapirelliplayboyPNQpolandpolarispolicepoliticspollutionpontiacporscheporsheportPort LouisPort-LouisPPCPPPprankpricespriusproguardprotestsprotonPSApublic transportQ3qorosquatre-bornesr8Raceracingrallyramrangerange roverratingsRDArecallsrecordrecordsred bullrenaultrenderingrent a carreplicaReunionRHTRichard DuvalRichard HammondRing Roadrioroadroad accidentroad rules & regulationsroad safetyRoad Traffic ActRoad Traffic Amendment Actroadsroads safetyrobotsRodriguesrolls-royceromeoRose-HillroverRoyal EnfieldRRSRSUrumoursRussiasaabsafetysafety ratingssafety testssalesamsungsamusao paulo auto showSao Paulo Motor Showsaudisaudi arabiascamscandalscaniaschool busscooterscootersseatsecond hand carssecond hand cars importself driving carself-drivingself-driving carself-driving carsSEMASEMA showSeoul Motor Showservice stationsShanghaishanghai motor showshelbyShellshowsingaporeskodaSlovakiasmartsoreze accidentsoulsound systemssouthsouth africasouth koreaspainspare partsspeed camerasspeedingsportSportscarspy shotsssang yongSsangYongstar warsstartupstatisticsSTCstreet racingstrikestudysubarusudysupercarssurveySUVsuzukiSwedenswiftSwitzerlandTATaiwantakataTarisa Resorttatataxtax fraudtaxestaxiTBStechnlogytechnolgytechnologyTerre-Rouge–VerdunteslateststhailandThailand International Motor ExpothefttipstiresTMRSUtokyoTokyo Auto Salontokyo motor showtoptop geartoyotatoystrailertransformerstransporttrendstrickstriumphtrucktruckstsunamituningTurkeytvstyresUAEuberUBSukukraineunionsuomuralUSused carused carsVacoasvanvarma casevehicle inspectionVehiclesvelostervideovietnamVintagevintage carsVipervolkswagenvolvovwwheelsWorldyamahayariszagato
Vendez Votre Auto